EX-99.2 3 a04-10478_1ex99d2.htm EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

 

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Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Investors' Overview

June 30, 2004

 



 

Table of Contents

 

Monoline Financial Guaranty Insurance Industry

 

 

 

 

Financial Security Assurance (FSA)

 

 

 

 

FSA's Primary Business Lines

 

 

 

 

Monoline Financial Guarantor Comparison

 

 

 

 

Appendices:

 

 

A: ABS Transactions - FSA's Underwriting Approach

 

 

B: CDO Portfolio - Overview

 

 

C: Monoline Financial Guarantor - Default Swap Spreads

 

 

D: Municipal Bond Industry Loss and Recovery Rates

 

 

E: What a Typical FSA Insurance Policy Covers

 

 

F: Additional Holding Company Information

 

 

 

 

Non-GAAP Measures

 

 

 

 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

 

[LOGO]

 

 

1



 

Monoline Financial Guaranty Insurance Industry

 

2



 

The Aaa/AAA-Rated Monoline Financial Guaranty Insurance Industry

 

                  Big Four primary providers: AMBAC (1971), MBIA (1973), FGIC (1983), FSA (1985)

                  Recent entrants: XLCA (2000), CIFG (2002), Assured Guaranty (1)(2003)

                  Insure municipal/governmental and asset-backed bonds, domestically and internationally

                  All rated Aaa/AAA/AAA by Moody's/S&P/Fitch Ratings (1)

                  Regulated by

                  Government agencies

                  Rating agencies

                  Barriers to entry

                  Experienced management requirements

                  Strong ownership/business model requirements

                  Market recognition & acceptance - trading value and liquidity

                  Staffing infrastructure requirements

                  Significant capital requirements

                  Weak returns in early years of start-up

                  Underwrite investment-grade transactions

                  No forced acceleration – insurer is only required to make principal and interest payments as scheduled

                  Low industry loss experience

 


(1) Assured Guaranty is rated AAA by S&P, Aa1 by Moody's and not rated by Fitch Ratings.

 

3



 

Rating Agencies Oversight

 

                   Transaction level

 

                  Shadow rating assigned to each insured transaction by sector specialist

                  Capital charges assigned for each specific exposure

 

                   Insurance company level

 

                  Continuous review of operations, risk management practices, profitability, liquidity and quality of management

                  Review capital sources and investment practices

                  Evaluate worst-case loss potential from claims

                  Assess capital adequacy under stress scenarios

                  S&P's FER (Financial Enhancement Ratings)

 

                  Measures willingness to pay claims and commitment to maintain Triple-A

 

4



 

Worldwide Offices of Leading Monoline Bond Insurers

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

5



 

AAA-Rated Monoline Financial Guaranty Insurance Industry

Net Par Outstanding by Product Line – 6/30/04

 

[CHART]

 

Total Net Par Outstanding: $1.5 Trillion

 

Includes: Ambac, FSA, MBIA and FGIC.  Gross outstanding par for those companies was $1.75 trillion at 12/31/03.

Source: Company reports.

 

6



 

AAA-Rated Monoline Financial Guaranty Insurance Industry Annual Gross Par Originated

Trends: Growth in Originations and Diversification

 

[CHART]

 

Sources: FSA, MBIA, Ambac and FGIC company reports. Includes secondary market transactions.

 


(1) Includes ABS, MBS and funded and unfunded CDOs and CDSs.

 

7



 

First Half 2004 Monoline Financial Guaranty Insurance Industry Market Shares – New Originations

(Gross Par Insured)

 

U.S. Municipal Market(1)

 

[CHART]

 

Total Volume: $101.2Bn

 

U.S. ABS Market(2)

 

[CHART]

 

Total Volume: $61.8Bn

 

International Market(2)

 

[CHART]

 

Total Volume: $27.5Bn

 

 

As of 6/30/04

 


(1)         Source: Thomson Financial.  Represents only primary issuances (no secondary).  Percentages based on Thomson Financial giving full credit for entire transaction to each participating insurer.  Total volume shown is actual par insured.

(2)         Source: Company reports (Includes ABS, MBS, CDOs and CDSs).